Day 7: Involuntary Unemployment

Keynes was a bold man. Bold enough to challenge prevailing economic theories and views of his time. He refused to accept the views of the neoclassical orthodoxy. He deemed their belief that an economy, left to its own devices, would spontaneously achieve full employment as hugely flawed and erroneous. He was perplexed as to why such notable scholars would come up with the conclusion that everyone who wanted a job could have one as long as workers were flexible in their wage demands.

I believe that Keynes was completely in the right as the concept of full employment would mean actively neglecting involuntary unemployment, which was the reality of thousands globally. This, though seemingly a very obvious observation, was not so obvious during his time. There exist millions of workers who are prepared to work at a given wage rate and even below it, but fail to find work, often due to changes in the business cycle. The capitalist structure of society is characterized by such involuntary unemployment, which the classicists conveniently and completely ignored.

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Day 4: Keynesian Beauty Contest

Today, as I indulged in a friendly game of poker (with no real money, of course!) with my roommates, I was hyper-aware of the level of wits that this mere card game truly entailed. I couldn't simply make a naïve move, but I had to think about what my opponents would play in order to calculate my move. Deeper into the game, I began thinking about what my opponents thought about what I would do, and I based my move on that. This opened my eyes to how Keynes's popular Beauty Contest theory was so diverse in its applicability. Keynes had come up with this perfect analogy to represent the inner-working of the stock market and to give an explanation for its volatility. "Successful investing is anticipating the anticipations of others." Thus, in the chess game of speculative markets, you win not by picking the soundest investment, but by picking those that are bid up higher by others in the same game. However, bounded rationality of individuals can be a major deterrent to...

Day 13: Multiplier Effect

I am hungry. I buy two huge margherita pizzas. The cost of the pizzas to me is income to the seller. What the seller spends out of this income would be income to someone else. This goes on and on and on. This becomes an economy-wide chain reaction, or the "multiplier effect" as Keynes called it. Thus, consumption rather than thrift promotes economic growth, and the government should stimulate demand. Each unit of money it spends increases economic activity, not by one unit, but by one unit times a multiplier. The expenditure more than pays for itself! This seems like the panacea to all economic evils: the government should just spend and spend and this initial injection will further create waves of spending and thus, reboot the economy. However, this solution of spending more and not worrying about the incoming due bills sounds a bit too idealistic and "too good to be true" to me.

Day 3: In the Long Run, We are All Dead!

Today, I attended quite an interesting Public Economics lecture on government grants. My professor was talking about how the US government had approved $2.2 trillion worth of loans and grants in order to soften the blow of the COVID-19 pandemic on the most affected families and businesses. He then asked a fundamental question that left us pondering: "Do these hefty government grants and packages financed by taxpayers' money which benefits only a select few make good economic sense?" This brings us back to the 20th century, specifically the 1930's, and how Keynes's influential ideas led to aggressive government policies, rescuing the global economy from the Great Depression. Keynes was a staunch proponent of short-term policy interventions and famously believed that, "In the long run, we are all dead." Yes, things might get better in the future, but why wait for when no one will be alive to reap the fruits of the future? In times of economic crisis, the...

15 Days of Keynes.

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