Day 9: The Bible of Macroeconomics

Day 9: The Bible of Macroeconomics— The General Theory

Reading Keynes's The General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money is a life-changing experience even in the 21st century. This means it was practically explosive during his times. A time dominated by the reigning classicists and their accepted axioms and ideologies, Keynes challenged all these existing theories and his book was a radical reconsideration of some of these founding principles of Economics, provoking a widespread revolution in economic thought. Keynes's affinity and prowess for problem-solving shines throughout this masterpiece of a book. The heart of The General Theory lies in its analysis of poverty and unemployment, which Keynes saw as having permanent and tragic political and economic consequences. According to Keynes, unemployment is not caused by rigidity of wages or prices, but by lack of incentives to increase production, due to lack of effective demand in the short run and lack of knowledge of the future in the long run. Keynes also addressed the "fallacy of composition" that exists in the way classicists ran things, referring to the mismatch between individual behavior and aggregate outcomes. This paved way for Keynes's being a staunch proponent of interventionism.

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Day 3: In the Long Run, We are All Dead!

Today, I attended quite an interesting Public Economics lecture on government grants. My professor was talking about how the US government had approved $2.2 trillion worth of loans and grants in order to soften the blow of the COVID-19 pandemic on the most affected families and businesses. He then asked a fundamental question that left us pondering: "Do these hefty government grants and packages financed by taxpayers' money which benefits only a select few make good economic sense?" This brings us back to the 20th century, specifically the 1930's, and how Keynes's influential ideas led to aggressive government policies, rescuing the global economy from the Great Depression. Keynes was a staunch proponent of short-term policy interventions and famously believed that, "In the long run, we are all dead." Yes, things might get better in the future, but why wait for when no one will be alive to reap the fruits of the future? In times of economic crisis, the...

Day 11: Tackling the Business Cycle

As emphasized priorly, Keynesians staunchly believe in activist policies to reduce the amplitude of the business cycle. According to Keynes, the business cycle is the root of all economic evils and is the most important of all economic problems. To tackle this, Keynes advocated for countercyclical fiscal policies that act against the direction of the business cycle. For example, deficit spending on labor-intensive infrastructure projects to stimulate employment and stabilize wages during periods of economic downturns. In a situation of abundant demand-side growth, Keynesians would lobby for raising taxes to cool the economy and prevent inflation. They also rely on monetary policies in certain situations (minus periods of liquidity trap) to stimulate the economy, like reducing interest rates to encourage investments.

Day 4: Keynesian Beauty Contest

Today, as I indulged in a friendly game of poker (with no real money, of course!) with my roommates, I was hyper-aware of the level of wits that this mere card game truly entailed. I couldn't simply make a naïve move, but I had to think about what my opponents would play in order to calculate my move. Deeper into the game, I began thinking about what my opponents thought about what I would do, and I based my move on that. This opened my eyes to how Keynes's popular Beauty Contest theory was so diverse in its applicability. Keynes had come up with this perfect analogy to represent the inner-working of the stock market and to give an explanation for its volatility. "Successful investing is anticipating the anticipations of others." Thus, in the chess game of speculative markets, you win not by picking the soundest investment, but by picking those that are bid up higher by others in the same game. However, bounded rationality of individuals can be a major deterrent to...

15 Days of Keynes.

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